Fact check: President Trump Delivers Remarks, Nov. 4, 2026
Donald Trump · November 4, 2026 · 31 min
Every claim, in order
- FALSEat 13:57
“We went from one of the most unsafe cities in the country to one of the safest cities in the country”
What the data shows: DC violent crime rate in 2024: 1,006 per 100,000 (highest among all states). Ranked 165th out of 182 US cities for safety. While violent crime fell 35% from 2023 to 2024 (30-year low), DC remains among the most dangerous, not safest, cities.
- MOSTLY TRUEat 14:50
“Three murders a week.”
What the data shows: DC Metropolitan Police data: 127 homicides in 2025 (averaging ~2.4/week), 187 in 2024, 274 in 2023. August 2025 year-to-date averaged ~3/week.
- FALSEat 15:38· said in 4 broadcasts
“for the last seventeen months, zero illegal migrants have been allowed into our country. Zero.”
What the data shows: U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) data shows significant apprehensions and encounters at the southern border throughout 2024. Monthly encounters ranged from ~100K–200K+ individuals. Zero crossings is not supported by any federal border agency data.
- MISLEADINGat 27:05
“it drove the gasoline up a little bit short term”
What the data shows: Gas prices rose from $3.10/gallon at Trump's January 2025 inauguration to $2.80 in January 2026, then surged to $4.50 by May 2026 following the Iran attack decision. As of November 2026, prices remain around $4.14-$4.28/gallon.
- MISLEADINGat 27:54
“We have tremendous oil flowing out of the Hormuz right now. At the beginning, there was none.”
What the data shows: Hormuz flows fell to 14.6 mb/d in Q1 2026 (30% drop from 20.4 mb/d year prior). As of late September 2026, Kpler reports 13.1 mb/d (77% of pre-war); Goldman Sachs estimates 23.3 mb/d including dark tankers.
- MISLEADINGat 39:38
“it dropped 10 points”
What the data shows: AAA national average gas prices showed daily changes of 1-3 cents in early November 2026; largest documented drop was 12 cents over one week (Nov 2-3). Commodity futures fell ~11 cents on Nov 4, but retail pump prices did not match this magnitude.
- FALSEat 39:38
“it's producing more oil. Right now. Than at any time prior to the war.”
What the data shows: Iran produced 3.2-3.3 million barrels per day in 2025-early 2026, down from a post-sanctions peak of 4 mb/d in 2024 and far below its 2018 pre-sanctions level of 3.6 mb/d.
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