Fact-check · Sep 30, 2026 · Donald Trump
“We had more oil coming out over the last two days than any time in history”
FALSE
What the record shows
Strait of Hormuz oil flows averaged 13.1 million bpd last week (late September 2026), per Kpler; prewar baseline was ~19.5 million bpd in February 2026. Recent two-week flows were highest in six months, not in history.
Sources
- EIA forecasts continued growth in US crude oil production through 2026
- EIA Press Release (03/10/2026): EIA releases latest Short-Term Energy Outlook amid Middle East conflict
- United States on track for record crude oil production in 2026 - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)
- EIA Raises USA Oil Production Forecast for 2026, 2027
- EIA forecasts U.S. crude oil production will decrease slightly in 2026 - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)
- U.S. crude oil production on track for record 13.8 MMbpd in 2026, EIA says
From: President Trump Makes an Announcement with the Secretary of Commerce
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