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Fact-check · Oct 15, 2026 · Donald Trump

“The murder rate plummeted to the lowest level in a hundred and twenty five years since the year 1900”

MOSTLY TRUESaid in 8 broadcasts
What the record shows
2025 murder rate of 4.1 per 100,000 is lowest in available records since 1900, though pre-1960 data relies on reconstructed estimates with acknowledged limitations.

Claim is directionally correct but relies on pre-1960 data that is incomplete and reconstructed, not systematically collected like post-1960 FBI data.

Sources
▶ Watch the broadcast
From: President Trump Participates in a Rose Garden Lunch, Oct. 15, 2026

Every time it was said

8 times, Sep 2, 2026 to Oct 21, 2026 · 2 true · 6 misleading
SepOctSep 2, 2026 — MISLEADINGSep 9, 2026 — MISLEADINGSep 10, 2026 — MISLEADINGSep 22, 2026 — TRUESep 28, 2026 — MISLEADINGOct 1, 2026 — MISLEADINGOct 15, 2026 — TRUEOct 21, 2026 — MISLEADING
TrueMisleading

The verdicts differ. Differences come from changes in the wording or in what each check found. Each check is linked below.

Sep 2, 2026President Trump Participates in a Rose Garden DinnerMISLEADINGSep 9, 2026LIVE: RNC 2026 National Convention in Dallas Features President Trump on Day 1MISLEADINGSep 10, 2026LIVE: RNC 2026 National Convention in Dallas Features President Trump and VP Vance on Day 2MISLEADINGSep 22, 2026President Trump Delivers Remarks to the United Nations General AssemblyTRUESep 28, 2026President Trump Makes an Announcement, Sep. 28, 2026MISLEADINGOct 1, 2026President Trump Participates in a Site Visit, Oct. 1, 2026MISLEADING
Oct 15, 2026This pageTRUE
Oct 21, 2026President Trump Participates in a Roundtable, Oct. 21, 2026MISLEADING

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